English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 7 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.75
LostResult
1-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
59%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Matchbook
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Udinese are narrow favourites at 2.65 (about 38% implied), with Lazio at 3.08 (about 32%) and only a small price gap between them.
02
The draw at 3.19 (roughly 31%) is priced almost level with both sides, reflecting a balanced three-way market.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.43 implies around 41% confidence, so under 2.5 goals is the marginally more likely outcome by the odds.
04
The value edge on the goals pick is slightly negative at -1.37%, meaning no clear pricing advantage was found and no 1X2 value picks cleared the threshold.
Team form
UDI Udinese LLLWD
19 Sept 26 vs Cagliari 0-1
14 Sept 26 @ Inter 3-5
7 Sept 26 vs Lazio 1-2
29 Aug 26 @ Monza 3-2
22 Aug 26 vs Como 1907 1-1
LAZ Lazio WDWWW
19 Sept 26 @ Venezia FC 2-0
12 Sept 26 vs Milan 2-2
7 Sept 26 @ Udinese 2-1
30 Aug 26 vs Genoa 1-0
24 Aug 26 @ Bologna 1-0
Head-to-head: Udinese v Lazio
Full H2H history → L 7 Sept 26
Udinese 1-2 LazioSerie A
D 27 Apr 26
Lazio 3-3 UdineseSerie A
D 27 Dec 25
Udinese 1-1 LazioSerie A
W/D/L shown from Udinese's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Udinese vs Lazio: pre-match preview
This Serie A fixture between Udinese and Lazio arrives with a tight set of prices that point to a genuinely open contest. Udinese are the marginal home favourites at 2.65, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 38%, while Lazio sit at 3.08, or about 32% in probability terms. The draw is priced at 3.19, close to 31%, underlining how evenly the market rates all three outcomes. There is no clear standout selection on the match result, which is why our model looks past the 1X2 line and toward the goals market. Its recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2.43, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 41%. That figure is worth weighing carefully, because the value edge sits slightly negative at -1.37%, meaning the price does not offer a clear advantage over the market's own assessment.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 2.43, but with an implied probability of about 41% and a negative value edge of -1.37%, this is a low-conviction selection rather than a strong edge. Treat it as a modest, calculated bet and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Udinese vs Lazio?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75.
Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Lazio?+
Udinese are the slight favourites at 2.65, implying about 38%, with Lazio at 3.08, roughly 32%. The margin between them is small, so the market sees this as a close match.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.19 with 1xBet, an implied probability of around 31%. That puts it almost level with both teams' chances.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.43 actually shows a slightly negative edge of -1.37%, so there is no clear market-beating value here.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).