English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 30 Aug 2026
Our tip
Cruzeiro to win
Odds
3.05
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
37%Pre-match conf.
+0.33%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Cruzeiro (2.7) and Vasco da Gama (2.73) are almost level in the market, each priced at roughly a 37% chance of winning.
02
The draw at 3.4 implies about a 29% probability, reflecting an expectation of a tight, closely contested match.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.14 sits near a 47% implied probability, with model confidence around 45%.
04
No selection cleared the value threshold, and the Over 2.5 pick shows a negative edge of -4.03%, so the price offers no clear overlay.
Team form
VDG Vasco da Gama WWLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Coritiba 5-0
12 Sept 26 @ Grêmio 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Fluminense 0-1
30 Aug 26 vs Cruzeiro 3-1
23 Aug 26 @ Palmeiras 1-4
CRU Cruzeiro LWLWW
13 Sept 26 @ Santos 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Paranaense 3-1
30 Aug 26 @ Vasco da Gama 1-3
22 Aug 26 vs Flamengo 2-1
16 Aug 26 @ Corinthians 2-1
Head-to-head: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro
Full H2H history → W 30 Aug 26
Vasco da Gama 3-1 CruzeiroBrasileirão
D 15 Mar 26
Cruzeiro 3-3 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
W 27 Sept 25
Vasco da Gama 2-0 CruzeiroBrasileirão
L 27 Apr 25
Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Vasco da Gama's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão clash between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro is one the market can barely separate. Cruzeiro sit as marginal favourites at 2.7, implying roughly a 37% chance, while Vasco da Gama are priced at 2.73, or about 37% as well. The draw at 3.4 translates to around 29%, so bookmakers see a genuinely open contest with little between the two sides on paper. Our model does not flag either outcome as a value pick above threshold, and instead leans towards the goals market. The recommended bet here is Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 45%. Notably, the value edge on that selection is negative at -4.03%, meaning the price is slightly shorter than our model considers fair. That is worth keeping in mind before committing any stake to this fixture.
Verdict: The pick is Over 2.5 goals at 2.14, reflecting a moderately open match with roughly even win prices. Be aware the edge is negative at -4.03%, so this is a lean rather than a value spot. Treat it as a modest-stake play and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?+
Our tip was Cruzeiro to win at odds of 3.05.
Who is the favourite in Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?+
Cruzeiro are the narrow favourites at 2.7, just ahead of Vasco da Gama at 2.73. The gap is tiny, so the market sees this as close to a coin flip.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% probability of the teams sharing the points.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.14 actually carries a negative edge of -4.03%, so there is no clear value on offer here.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).