English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 25 Jul 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
2.08
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
47%Pre-match conf.
-2.8%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Vasco da Gama are the favourites at 2.14 (around 47% implied), with Mirassol some way back at 3.85 (roughly 26%).
02
The draw at 3.5 implies close to 29%, suggesting the market does not view this as a comfortable home banker.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.08 carries a market-implied confidence of about 47%.
04
That goals pick shows a negative value edge of -2.93%, and no selections cleared our value threshold.
Team form
VDG Vasco da Gama WWLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Coritiba 5-0
12 Sept 26 @ Grêmio 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Fluminense 0-1
30 Aug 26 vs Cruzeiro 3-1
23 Aug 26 @ Palmeiras 1-4
MIR Mirassol WDWLD
19 Sept 26 vs Botafogo 2-0
13 Sept 26 vs Vitória 2-2
6 Sept 26 @ Coritiba 2-1
2 Sept 26 @ Flamengo 0-2
30 Aug 26 vs Palmeiras 1-1
Head-to-head: Vasco da Gama v Mirassol
Full H2H history → D 25 Jul 26
Vasco da Gama 1-1 MirassolBrasileirão
L 29 Jan 26
Mirassol 2-1 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
L 2 Dec 25
Vasco da Gama 0-2 MirassolBrasileirão
L 2 Aug 25
Mirassol 3-2 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Vasco da Gama's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol: pre-match preview
Vasco da Gama host Mirassol in this Brasileirão fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Vasco are priced at 2.14 with Matchbook, translating to an implied probability of roughly 47%, while Mirassol drift out to 3.85 (about 26%) as clear underdogs. The draw sits at 3.5, worth close to 29% in implied terms, reflecting a contest the bookmakers still see as fairly open despite the home side's edge. Our model's attention turns away from the result market and towards goals: the recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 47%. It is worth noting that this pick shows a negative value edge of -2.93%, meaning the price offers no clear advantage over the market consensus. There are no value picks above our threshold here, so this preview is about context rather than a strong statistical lean.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.5 goals at 2.08, roughly a coin-flip proposition by implied probability. With a negative value edge and no picks above threshold, this is a low-conviction call rather than a standout opportunity. Treat it cautiously and stake only within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 25 Jul 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-1
1.78 +0.78u Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.08.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).