English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
2.03
WonResult
0-3Final score
+1.03uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
-3.33%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Vasco da Gama are the market favourites at 2.0, implying about a 50% chance of victory, while Santos at 3.91 sit near 26%.
02
The draw is priced at 3.5, worth roughly a 29% implied probability, reflecting a match the market sees leaning home but not one-sided.
03
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 carries a 52% implied confidence and a 5.21% value edge, the only pick clearing our threshold.
04
Neither the home nor away match-result price showed value above threshold, which is why attention shifts to the total-goals market.
Team form
VDG Vasco da Gama WWLWL
19 Sept 26 vs Coritiba 5-0
12 Sept 26 @ Grêmio 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Fluminense 0-1
30 Aug 26 vs Cruzeiro 3-1
23 Aug 26 @ Palmeiras 1-4
SAN Santos WWWWD
19 Sept 26 @ Clube do Remo 2-1
13 Sept 26 vs Cruzeiro 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ Internacional 3-2
30 Aug 26 @ Corinthians 1-0
23 Aug 26 vs Mirassol 1-1
Head-to-head: Vasco da Gama v Santos
Full H2H history → L 16 Aug 26
Vasco da Gama 0-3 SantosBrasileirão
L 26 Feb 26
Santos 2-1 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
W 17 Aug 25
Santos 0-6 Vasco da GamaBrasileirão
W 30 Mar 25
Vasco da Gama 2-1 SantosBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Vasco da Gama's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Vasco da Gama vs Santos: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão clash sees Vasco da Gama host Santos, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Vasco are priced at 2.0 with Coolbet, which translates to a roughly 50% implied chance of victory, marking them as clear home favourites. Santos, by contrast, sit out at 3.91 with 1xBet, implying only about a 26% probability of winning on the road. The draw is available at 3.5, worth around a 29% implied chance. Rather than backing the match result, our model steers toward the goals market. The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of 52% and a modest value edge of 5.21%. That makes the total-goals angle the standout on the card, with the head-to-head prices offering no value above our threshold for either side.
Verdict: The value here lies with Over 2.5 goals at 2.03, backed by a 52% implied confidence and a 5.21% edge. It is a moderate-risk pick, roughly a coin flip by the odds, so treat it accordingly and stake within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-3, for a flat-stake return of +1.03 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Santos?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.03.
Who is the favourite for Vasco da Gama vs Santos?+
Vasco da Gama are the favourites at 2.0, implying about a 50% chance of winning. Santos are the outsiders at 3.91, around 26%.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.5 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% probability of the game ending level.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model flags Over 2.5 goals at 2.03 as the value pick, with a 5.21% edge and 52% implied confidence. The match-result prices did not clear our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-3 (+1.03u at flat stakes).