English ⚽ Bundesliga 🕒 4 Sept 2026
Our tip
Over 3.5 goals
Odds
2.02
WonResult
4-1Final score
+1.02uProfit
52%Pre-match conf.
+1%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Team form
VS VfB Stuttgart LLWLD
19 Sept 26 vs Dortmund 0-1
12 Sept 26 @ Hoffenheim 1-2
4 Sept 26 vs 1. FC Köln 4-1
28 Aug 26 @ Bayern 1-5
16 May 26 @ Frankfurt 2-2
1FK 1. FC Köln LDLWL
19 Sept 26 @ HSV 1-2
12 Sept 26 vs Bremen 1-1
4 Sept 26 @ Stuttgart 1-4
29 Aug 26 vs Hoffenheim 3-2
16 May 26 @ Bayern 1-5
Head-to-head: VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC Köln
Full H2H history → W 4 Sept 26
Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W 14 Feb 26
Stuttgart 3-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W 28 Sept 25
1. FC Köln 1-2 StuttgartBundesliga
W/D/L shown from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln: pre-match preview
Stuttgart host Köln in the Bundesliga, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. VfB Stuttgart are priced as short as 1.52 to take all three points, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 66%. By contrast, 1. FC Köln drift out to 6.5, or about 15% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 5.3, near 19%. That price gap reflects clear confidence in the home side rather than an even contest. Our model, however, looks past the match result and toward the goals market: the recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 1.87, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 53%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge here is slightly negative at -1.53%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. Separately, the model flags the draw at 5.3 as holding a positive edge against the consensus.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 3.5 goals at 1.87, a coin-flip-style market reflecting roughly 53% implied confidence. With a marginally negative value edge, it is a modest lean rather than a strong price. Treat it as higher-variance and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 4-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.02 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 4 Sept 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 4-1
1.86 +0.86u Upcoming Bundesliga fixtures
All Bundesliga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:30 | SC Paderborn v TSG Hoffenheim | 1.81 | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| 9 Oct 18:30 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | 1.40 | 5.80 | 7.90 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Augsburg v Bayern Munich | 11.50 | 8.25 | 1.24 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | Union Berlin v Elversberg | 2.37 | 3.88 | 2.97 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.80 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3.15 | 3.96 | 2.35 |
| 10 Oct 13:30 | SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart | 4.90 | 4.72 | 1.68 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.58 | 5.08 | 5.34 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Bundesliga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?+
Our tip was Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.02.
Who is the favourite for Stuttgart vs Köln?+
VfB Stuttgart are the clear favourites at 1.52, implying around a 66% chance, while 1. FC Köln are priced at 6.5, close to 15%.
What is the draw priced at for this match?+
The draw is available at a best price of 5.3, an implied probability near 19%. Our model rates its fair probability at about 22%, giving a positive value edge of roughly 17%.
Is there value in the recommended bet?+
The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 1.87 carries around 53% implied confidence but a slightly negative value edge of -1.53%, so it is a lean rather than a clear-value pick.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 4-1 (+1.02u at flat stakes).