English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.83
WonResult
0-2Final score
+0.83uProfit
57%Pre-match conf.
+3.98%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Vitoria are narrow favourites at 2.7 (about 37% implied), edging Bahia at 2.8 (about 36%) by only a hair.
02
The draw at 3.4 implies roughly 29%, a realistic outcome given how close the two win prices are.
03
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 shows a 3.8% value edge with around 57% market-implied confidence.
04
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold, so the goals market is where the edge sits.
Team form
VIT Vitoria DWLLW
13 Sept 26 @ Mirassol 2-2
7 Sept 26 vs Grêmio 1-0
29 Aug 26 @ Mineiro 1-2
23 Aug 26 vs Bahia 0-2
16 Aug 26 vs Botafogo 1-0
BAH Bahia WWWWD
14 Sept 26 vs Clube do Remo 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Bragantino 3-2
30 Aug 26 vs Internacional 3-2
23 Aug 26 @ Vitória 2-0
16 Aug 26 @ Chapecoense 3-3
Head-to-head: Vitoria v Bahia
Full H2H history → L 23 Aug 26
Vitória 0-2 BahiaBrasileirão
D 11 Mar 26
Bahia 1-1 VitóriaBrasileirão
W 17 Oct 25
Vitória 2-1 BahiaBrasileirão
L 18 May 25
Bahia 2-1 VitóriaBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Vitoria's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Vitoria vs Bahia: pre-match preview
This Brasileirão fixture between Vitoria and Bahia is one the market rates as close to a coin flip. Vitoria are marginal favourites at 2.7, implying roughly a 37% chance of victory, while Bahia sit just behind at 2.8, or about 36%. The draw is priced at 3.4, translating to around 29%. Those numbers point to a genuinely balanced contest, with no side carrying meaningful favouritism heading into kick-off. Rather than backing a match result, our model leans toward the goals market. The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.83, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 57% and a modest value edge of 3.8%. That angle suggests the pricing may slightly underrate a lower-scoring outcome. With the win market so tightly bunched, the total-goals line offers a clearer read than trying to separate two evenly matched teams on the result alone.
Verdict: The play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.83, backed by a modest 3.8% edge and roughly 57% implied confidence. This is a low-to-moderate confidence lean rather than a strong call, so stake sensibly. The result market itself is too tightly priced to favour either side.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.83 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Vitoria vs Bahia?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83.
Who is the favourite for Vitoria vs Bahia?+
Vitoria are slim favourites at 2.7 (about 37% implied), just ahead of Bahia at 2.8 (about 36%). The gap is small enough that the market sees this as close to even.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% chance. That is a plausible outcome given how balanced the two win prices are.
Is there any value in this match?+
No match-result selection cleared our value threshold. The only flagged value is Under 2.5 goals at 1.83, with a 3.8% edge and about 57% implied confidence.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-2 (+0.83u at flat stakes).