Greek Super League · kicked off 5 Sept 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Olympiakos are priced at 1.25, implying an 80% win probability according to the market.
Volos FC's 13.0 price implies just a 7.7% chance, while the draw at 6.0 implies about 16.7%.
The recommended bet, Under 2.5 goals at 2.25, carries a stated value edge of 12.44% against the model's assessment.
No additional value picks were flagged above the site's threshold in the match-result market.
W/D/L shown from Volos FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Olympiakos Piraeus travel to face Volos FC in a Greek Super League fixture where the betting market leaves little doubt about the expected outcome. Best odds of 1.25 on Olympiakos imply an 80% chance of victory, reflecting a heavy favourite status, while Volos at 13.0 are priced at roughly 7.7% and the draw at 6.0 sits around 16.7%. These figures suggest bookmakers see this as a one-sided contest on paper. Away from the match-result market, our model highlights value elsewhere: Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 with William Hill, carrying a model-implied confidence of 50% and a value edge of 12.44% versus the raw price. This points to goals markets, rather than the outright winner, as the more interesting angle for this fixture in the Greek top flight.
Verdict: With Olympiakos heavily favoured, the outright market offers little pricing value. The Under 2.5 goals selection at 2.25 stands out with a 12.44% edge and 50% model confidence, making it a reasoned rather than certain pick. Bettors should treat it as moderate-risk and size stakes with normal bankroll discipline.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.25 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:00 | Panetolikos Agrinio v PAOK Thessaloniki | 170.00 | 29.00 | 1.03 |
| 10 Oct 15:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FC | 1.25 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | AEK Athens v OFI Crete | 1.20 | 6.10 | 14.00 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos Athens | 2.45 | 3.16 | 2.89 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | Iraklis FC v Levadiakos | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| 11 Oct 14:00 | AE Kifisia FC v Panetolikos Agrinio | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.55 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Aris Thessaloniki v Volos FC | 1.77 | 3.60 | 5.15 |
| 11 Oct 18:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.39 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.25.
Olympiakos Piraeus are strongly favoured, with odds of 1.25 implying an 80% win probability according to the market.
The draw is priced at 6.0 at Coolbet, which implies roughly a 16.7% chance of that outcome.
Yes, the recommended value is on Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 with William Hill, showing a 12.44% edge and 50% model confidence, rather than in the match-result market where no picks cleared the value threshold.
The tip won — final score 1-1 (+1.25u at flat stakes).
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