English ⚽ Ekstraklasa 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
Zagłębie Lubin to win
Odds
2.40
LostResult
0-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
44%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Zagłębie Lubin are priced at 2.4, the shortest odds on the board, implying a win probability of about 41.7 percent.
02
Wisła Płock sit at 3.0 (about 33.3 percent implied), while the draw is the longest price at 3.4 (about 29.4 percent implied), keeping all three outcomes within a fairly narrow band.
03
The model's 44 percent confidence in a Zagłębie win sits above the market-implied 41.7 percent, producing the quoted 6.47 percent value edge on that selection.
04
No value picks were flagged elsewhere in the market, meaning the home win is the only selection our model currently rates as offering an edge over the odds.
Team form
ZL Zagłębie Lubin LWWDD
20 Sept 26 vs Wisła Płock 0-2
15 Sept 26 @ Raków Częstochowa 3-2
12 Sept 26 vs GKS Katowice 2-1
7 Sept 26 @ Wieczysta Kraków 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ Radomiak Radom 0-0
WP Wisła Płock WWDLL
20 Sept 26 @ Zagłębie Lubin 2-0
13 Sept 26 vs Cracovia Kraków 3-1
7 Sept 26 @ Pogoń Szczecin 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ GKS Katowice 0-5
7 Aug 26 @ Wisła Kraków 1-2
Head-to-head: Zagłębie Lubin v Wisła Płock
L 20 Sept 26
Zagłębie Lubin 0-2 Wisła PłockEkstraklasa
W/D/L shown from Zagłębie Lubin's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Zagłębie Lubin vs Wisła Płock: pre-match preview
Ekstraklasa action brings Zagłębie Lubin and Wisła Płock together, with the betting market marking the hosts as clear favourites. Best available prices have Zagłębie at 2.4, Wisła at 3.0, and the draw at 3.4, which translates to implied probabilities of roughly 41.7 percent for a home win, 33.3 percent for a Wisła victory, and 29.4 percent for a share of the points. That gap between the two sides is modest rather than overwhelming, suggesting the market sees Zagłębie as favourites without treating this as a mismatch. Our model leans further into that view, rating Zagłębie's true winning chance at around 44 percent, a touch above what the current 2.4 price implies, and flags a value edge of 6.47 percent on the home win. That is the recommended angle here, though the numbers point to a competitive, closely priced Ekstraklasa fixture rather than a one-sided affair.
Verdict: Zagłębie Lubin to win at 2.4 is the model's pick, backed by a modest value edge over the market-implied probability. With the draw and away win both realistically priced, this remains a moderate-risk selection rather than a heavily one-sided call, and bankroll discipline is advised as with any single-match bet.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 20 Sept 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 0-2
1.90 +0.90u Upcoming Ekstraklasa fixtures
All Ekstraklasa tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:15 | Lech Poznań v Radomiak Radom | 1.14 | 10.00 | 28.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Zagłębie Lubin vs Wisła Płock?+
Our tip was Zagłębie Lubin to win at odds of 2.40.
Who is favourite in Zagłębie Lubin vs Wisła Płock?+
Zagłębie Lubin are favourites according to the odds, priced at 2.4 compared to 3.0 for Wisła Płock, implying roughly a 41.7 percent chance of a home win versus 33.3 percent for the visitors.
What is the draw priced at in this Ekstraklasa fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.4, the longest of the three match-result odds, which implies around a 29.4 percent chance of the game finishing level.
Is there value in betting on Zagłębie Lubin to win?+
The model rates Zagłębie's winning chance at about 44 percent, slightly higher than the 41.7 percent implied by their 2.4 odds, producing a value edge of 6.47 percent, which is why it is the recommended bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).