English ⚽ MLS 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
San Jose Earthquakes to win
Odds
3.10
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
35%Pre-match conf.
+5.08%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Austin FC are the market favourites at 2.24 (about 45% implied), with San Jose at 3.1 (about 32%) and the draw at 3.82 (about 26%).
02
The model's recommended pick is San Jose to win at 3.1, backed by a value edge of roughly 9.58% over the market price.
03
A secondary value angle sits on the draw at 3.82, with a fair probability estimate near 27% and a smaller edge of about 4.39%.
04
The odds gap between favourite and underdog is moderate rather than wide, which is why the model sees the away price as potentially generous.
Team form
AF Austin FC DWDDD
20 Sept 26 @ FC Dallas 0-0
13 Sept 26 @ Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2-1
10 Sept 26 vs Colorado Rapids 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs San Jose Earthquakes 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Philadelphia Union 1-1
SJE San Jose Earthquakes DWWDL
19 Sept 26 vs Los Angeles FC 2-2
13 Sept 26 vs Houston Dynamo 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ San Diego FC 3-2
6 Sept 26 @ Austin FC 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Minnesota United FC 1-5
Head-to-head: Austin FC v San Jose Earthquakes
D 6 Sept 26
Austin FC 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMLS
W/D/L shown from Austin FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: pre-match preview
Austin FC host San Jose Earthquakes in this MLS clash, and the market leans clearly toward the home side. Austin are priced at 2.24, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 45%, marking them as favourites without making them overwhelming ones. San Jose sit at 3.1, or about 32% in implied terms, while the draw is offered at 3.82, around 26%. The gap between the two teams is meaningful but not enormous, leaving room for an upset. Our model actually looks past the favourite: it flags San Jose Earthquakes to win at 3.1 as the recommended bet, citing a value edge of about 9.58% against a market-implied confidence of 35%. In other words, the model believes the away price is longer than the underlying probability warrants. The draw is also highlighted as a secondary value angle at 3.82, carrying a smaller edge.
Verdict: The recommended play is San Jose Earthquakes to win at 3.1, a value-driven pick against the favourite rather than a safe one. With market-implied confidence around 35%, this is a higher-risk underdog bet. Stake responsibly and treat the draw at 3.82 as an alternative value option.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 6 Sept 26
Over 3.0 goalsfinal score 1-1
1.86 -1.00u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
Our tip was San Jose Earthquakes to win at odds of 3.10.
Who is the favourite for Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
Austin FC are the favourites at 2.24, implying roughly a 45% chance. San Jose Earthquakes are the underdogs at 3.1, around 32% implied.
What are the odds for a draw in this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.82 with 1xBet, which implies about a 26% probability. Our model estimates a fair probability closer to 27%, giving a small value edge of around 4.39%.
Is there betting value in this fixture?+
Our model identifies value on San Jose Earthquakes to win at 3.1, with an edge of about 9.58%, and a smaller edge on the draw at 3.82. Both are value angles, not certainties, so manage your stakes carefully.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).