English ⚽ MLS 🕒 5 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.26
WonResult
0-0Final score
+1.26uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
-0.88%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Charlotte FC are favourites at 2.32 (about 43% implied), but the gap to Houston at 3.1 (around 32%) is narrow, suggesting a close contest.
02
The draw is priced at 3.72, implying roughly 27%, and our model flags it as a value pick with a fair probability of 28% and a positive edge of 4.33%.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.72 carries a 56% market-implied confidence but a negative value edge of -3.09%, meaning the price offers no clear overlay.
04
With no team priced heavily short, the odds spread points to a balanced fixture rather than a mismatch.
Team form
CF Charlotte FC WDWDW
19 Sept 26 @ D.C. United 2-1
12 Sept 26 @ FC Cincinnati 3-3
9 Sept 26 @ CF Montreal 2-1
5 Sept 26 vs Houston Dynamo 0-0
22 Aug 26 vs D.C. United 3-1
HD Houston Dynamo DLWDL
20 Sept 26 vs FC Cincinnati 2-2
13 Sept 26 @ San Jose Earthquakes 0-1
10 Sept 26 vs Real Salt Lake 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Charlotte FC 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ St. Louis City SC 1-2
Head-to-head: Charlotte FC v Houston Dynamo
D 5 Sept 26
Charlotte FC 0-0 Houston DynamoMLS
W/D/L shown from Charlotte FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo: pre-match preview
Charlotte FC host Houston Dynamo in this MLS matchup, and the market leans towards the home side. Charlotte's best price of 2.32 translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%, marking them as modest favourites rather than a dominant one. Houston, at 3.1, sit around 32% in implied terms, while the draw is offered at 3.72, close to a 27% chance. Those numbers point to a fixture the bookmakers see as competitive rather than one-sided. Our model steers away from the match-result line and towards the goals market: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.72, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 56%. It is worth noting that this pick currently shows a slightly negative value edge of -3.09%, meaning the price is a touch shorter than the model's fair estimate. Below we break down where the numbers align and where the value, if any, sits ahead of kick-off.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.72, backed by a 56% implied confidence but a slightly negative value edge, so it is a lean rather than a strong overlay. The draw at 3.72 shows the only positive edge here. Treat both as calculated risks and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.26 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 5 Sept 26
Charlotte FC to winfinal score 0-0
2.35 -1.00u W 5 Sept 26
Under 3.0 goalsfinal score 0-0
1.77 +0.77u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.26.
Who is the favourite in Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo?+
Charlotte FC are the favourites at a best price of 2.32, implying roughly a 43% chance. Houston Dynamo are priced at 3.1, around 32%, making this a fairly close matchup on the market.
What is the draw priced at for this MLS fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.72, which implies about a 27% probability. Our model rates its fair probability at 28%, giving it a small positive value edge of 4.33%.
Is there value in betting on this match?+
The draw shows the clearest value with a positive edge of 4.33%. The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 1.72 has a negative edge of -3.09%, so it is priced slightly short of fair value.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-0 (+1.26u at flat stakes).