MLS · Sun · 23:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Inter Miami CF are the clear market favourites at 2.17, implying about 46 percent win probability, compared with 33 percent for Columbus Crew SC at 3.0.
The draw at 4.25 implies roughly 24 percent, keeping the three-way market relatively competitive rather than lopsided.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 1.94 carries an implied probability of about 51.5 percent against a model confidence of 54 percent, a value edge of 3.91 percent.
No match-result selection cleared the site's value threshold, so no side or draw pick is being highlighted for this game.
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 7.7% | 13.02 |
| 2-2 | 7.2% | 13.89 |
| 1-1 | 6.9% | 14.60 |
| 2-1 | 6.4% | 15.58 |
| 1-3 | 5.7% | 17.42 |
| 2-3 | 5.4% | 18.59 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.87 and 2.24. These six scorelines cover 39% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
W/D/L shown from Columbus Crew SC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
| Bookmaker | 1 · CCS | X | 2 · IMC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.01 | 4.08 | 2.20 |
| Coolbet | 2.90 | 4.20 | 2.12 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.95 | 4.05 | 2.12 |
| Betsson | 2.95 | 4.05 | 2.12 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91 | 3.92 | 2.10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.87 | 4.00 | 2.07 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Columbus Crew SC host Inter Miami CF in an MLS fixture where the betting market leans toward the visitors. Inter Miami CF are priced at 2.17 with Coolbet, implying a win probability of roughly 46 percent, while Columbus Crew SC sit at 3.0 with 1xBet, translating to about 33 percent. The draw is priced at 4.25, implying roughly 24 percent, a figure that suggests bookmakers see a fairly open contest despite Miami's edge on paper. Rather than focusing on the match-result market, our model points to the goals total, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 1.94 with 1xBet. That price implies a break-even probability near 51.5 percent, and the model's own confidence reading of 54 percent produces a modest value edge of 3.91 percent, making it the more interesting angle for this fixture based purely on the numbers.
Verdict: The value lies in the goals market rather than the result. Over 3.5 goals at 1.94 offers a modest 3.91 percent edge versus the model's 54 percent confidence read, a reasonable but not overwhelming margin. Treat it as a moderate-risk selection and size stakes accordingly within a disciplined bankroll approach.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.93, with a 50% confidence rating.
Inter Miami CF are favoured by the market at odds of 2.17, implying about a 46 percent win probability, compared with 33 percent implied for Columbus Crew SC at 3.0.
The draw is priced at 4.25 with 1xBet, which implies a probability of roughly 24 percent.
No match-result selection met the site's value threshold, but the model flags Over 3.5 goals at 1.94 as a value play, with a 54 percent confidence level against an implied 51.5 percent, a 3.91 percent edge.
Columbus Crew SC vs Inter Miami CF takes place Sun · 23:00 in the MLS.
English