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Home/ Predictions/ MLS/ New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo result

MLS · kicked off 8 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.

Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work

Our published tip

Key factors behind our tip

01

New England Revolution are the market favourite at 2.45, implying about 41%, versus Houston Dynamo at 2.95, roughly 34%.

02

The relatively short gap between the two match-result prices points to a competitive, closely priced fixture.

03

The draw at 3.6 implies around 28%, a typical mid-range price that keeps all three outcomes live.

04

The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.82 shows a negative value edge of -2.93%, indicating no market advantage despite the 53% implied confidence.

Team form

NER New England Revolution WWWLW
19 Sept 26 vs Orlando City SC 4-2
13 Sept 26 @ Chicago Fire 2-1
10 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ LA Galaxy 1-2
30 Aug 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 3-1
HD Houston Dynamo DLWDL
20 Sept 26 vs FC Cincinnati 2-2
13 Sept 26 @ San Jose Earthquakes 0-1
10 Sept 26 vs Real Salt Lake 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Charlotte FC 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ St. Louis City SC 1-2

Head-to-head: New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo

L 8 Aug 26
New England Revolution 0-2 Houston DynamoMLS

W/D/L shown from New England Revolution's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo: pre-match preview

This MLS matchup puts New England Revolution up against Houston Dynamo, and the market leans towards the hosts. New England are the shorter price at 2.45 with Coolbet, translating to an implied probability of roughly 41%, while Houston Dynamo sit at 2.95 (1xBet), about 34% in probability terms. The draw is priced at 3.6, or around 28% implied. Those numbers describe a fairly open contest rather than a clear favourite, with New England only modestly preferred. Our model's attention is on goals rather than the outright winner: it flags Over 2.5 goals at 1.82 (1xBet), carrying a market-implied confidence near 53%. That said, the calculated value edge is negative at -2.93%, so this is not a spot where the price sits in the bettor's favour. Treat it as a lean informed by the data, not a strong value signal, and stake with care.

Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.82, with around 53% implied confidence. Because the value edge is negative at -2.93%, this is a modest lean rather than a value play. Consider it higher risk, keep stakes measured, and remember outcomes remain uncertain.

How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.

Our record on this fixture

L 8 Aug 26
New England Revolution to winfinal score 0-2
2.55 -1.00u
W 8 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 0-2
2.34 +1.34u

Upcoming MLS fixtures

All MLS tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
20 Sept 23:00 Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC 1.49 5.80 6.50
24 Sept 01:30 Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake 2.01 3.95 3.95
26 Sept 23:30 New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC 2.82 4.00 2.48
26 Sept 23:30 Atlanta United FC v New York City FC 2.35 3.75 3.23
26 Sept 23:30 Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC 1.53 5.26 6.30
26 Sept 23:30 CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati 2.60 4.00 2.60
26 Sept 23:30 Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire 2.38 3.99 2.85
27 Sept 00:30 Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC 2.25 3.85 3.20

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Match FAQ

What was our prediction for New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo?+

Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.82.

Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo?+

New England Revolution are the slight favourite at 2.45 (about 41% implied), with Houston Dynamo at 2.95 (about 34%). The margin is narrow, so the market sees a fairly even game.

What are the draw odds for this MLS fixture?+

The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 28% chance. That is a standard mid-range figure that keeps a stalemate realistically in play.

Is there betting value on the recommended Over 2.5 goals?+

The model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.82 with about 53% implied confidence, but the value edge is negative at -2.93%. That means the price does not offer a statistical edge, so it is best treated as a lean rather than a value bet.

Did the tip win?+

The tip lost — final score 0-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.