English ⚽ MLS 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.97
WonResult
1-1Final score
+0.97uProfit
58%Pre-match conf.
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (NL)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
The Revolution are marginal favourites at 2.55 (about 39% implied) versus New York City FC at 2.70 (about 37%), a slim margin.
02
The draw at 3.6 implies roughly 28%, consistent with an evenly matched fixture on paper.
03
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 carries a 55% market-implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.65%.
04
No value picks cleared our threshold against market consensus, suggesting the prices are broadly efficient.
Team form
NER New England Revolution WWWLW
19 Sept 26 vs Orlando City SC 4-2
13 Sept 26 @ Chicago Fire 2-1
10 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 2-1
6 Sept 26 @ LA Galaxy 1-2
30 Aug 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 3-1
NYC New York City FC LWLDD
18 Sept 26 vs New York Red Bulls 0-1
13 Sept 26 @ Real Salt Lake 2-0
10 Sept 26 vs New England Revolution 1-2
4 Sept 26 vs Nashville SC 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ New England Revolution 1-1
Head-to-head: New England Revolution v New York City FC
Full H2H history → W 10 Sept 26
New York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMLS
D 23 Aug 26
New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FCMLS
W/D/L shown from New England Revolution's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
New England Revolution vs New York City FC: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between New England Revolution and New York City FC arrives with the market leaning only slightly toward the hosts. New England are priced at 2.55, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 39%, while New York City FC sit at 2.70, or about 37%. That narrow gap points to a matchup the bookmakers see as close to a coin flip, with a small nod to the Revolution's home standing. The draw is offered at 3.6, implying around 28%, a fairly standard price for a game without a strong favourite. Rather than backing either side outright, our model looks to the goals market. The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.70, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 55%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -5.65%, so this is a preference call rather than a clear pricing advantage.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.70, reflecting a modest expectation of an open game. Be aware the value edge is negative, so this is a preference rather than a priced advantage. Treat it as a moderate-risk position and stake within a sensible bankroll.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of +0.97 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 23 Aug 26
New England Revolution to winfinal score 1-1
2.70 -1.00u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.97.
Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?+
New England Revolution are slight favourites at 2.55, implying about a 39% chance, just ahead of New York City FC at 2.70 (around 37%). The gap is narrow, so the market sees a close contest.
What is the draw priced at for this match?+
The draw is available at 3.6, which implies a probability of roughly 28%. That is typical pricing for a fixture without a dominant favourite.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
No value picks cleared our threshold against market consensus. Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.65%, so it is a preference rather than a clear-value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-1 (+0.97u at flat stakes).