English ⚽ MLS 🕒 4 Sept 2026
Our tip
Nashville SC to win
Odds
3.00
LostResult
0-0Final score
-1.00uProfit
35%Pre-match conf.
+9.09%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
NYCFC are the favourites at 2.38, an implied probability of about 42%, but that is far from a dominant price.
02
Nashville SC at 3.0 imply roughly 33% from the market, yet our model rates their chance closer to 35%, creating the flagged value edge.
03
The draw is priced at 3.62, around 28% implied, reflecting a genuine three-way outcome rather than a clear mismatch.
04
The recommended Nashville win carries a 6.38% value edge, the only selection our model highlights on this fixture.
Team form
NYC New York City FC LWLDD
18 Sept 26 vs New York Red Bulls 0-1
13 Sept 26 @ Real Salt Lake 2-0
10 Sept 26 vs New England Revolution 1-2
4 Sept 26 vs Nashville SC 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ New England Revolution 1-1
NS Nashville SC WDLDW
20 Sept 26 vs Chicago Fire 3-0
12 Sept 26 @ Inter Miami CF 2-2
9 Sept 26 @ Toronto FC 1-2
4 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 0-0
23 Aug 26 vs Columbus Crew SC 3-2
Head-to-head: New York City FC v Nashville SC
D 4 Sept 26
New York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMLS
W/D/L shown from New York City FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
New York City FC vs Nashville SC: pre-match preview
This MLS clash sees New York City FC host Nashville SC, with the market leaning towards the home side. NYCFC are priced at 2.38 at 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 42%, making them the favourite. Nashville SC sit at 3.0, implying around 33% before margin, while the draw is offered at 3.62, or close to 28%. Those numbers point to a fixture the bookmakers view as competitive rather than one-sided, with NYCFC holding a modest edge rather than a commanding one. Our model, however, sees value on the away side: Nashville SC to win at 3.0 carries a market-implied confidence of 35% and an estimated value edge of 6.38%. That does not make it a likely outcome, but it suggests the price may be slightly generous relative to the true chance. Read on for the key factors and where this recommendation fits.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Nashville SC to win at 3.0, driven by a 6.38% value edge rather than any expectation they are favourites. At an implied 35% confidence, this is a genuine underdog play that will lose more often than it wins, so treat it as a value-based selection and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for New York City FC vs Nashville SC?+
Our tip was Nashville SC to win at odds of 3.00.
Who is the favourite for NYCFC vs Nashville SC?+
New York City FC are the favourites at 2.38, an implied probability of around 42%. Nashville SC are priced at 3.0, roughly 33% implied.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 3.62 with 1xBet, which equates to an implied probability of about 28% before the bookmaker margin.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model identifies value on Nashville SC to win at 3.0, with an estimated edge of 6.38% and a market-implied confidence of 35%. No other selection cleared the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).