English ⚽ MLS 🕒 19 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 3.0 goals
Odds
1.76
LostResult
0-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Nashville SC are the favourites at 2.32 (about 43% implied), with New York Red Bulls at 2.82 (about 35%), a moderate rather than large gap.
02
The draw is priced at 4.23, implying roughly 24%, though our model rates its fair probability at 26%, giving an edge of 11.78%.
03
The recommended Under 3.0 goals pick at 2.03 shows a negative value edge of -5.73%, meaning the price sits slightly below our estimated fair value.
04
Market-implied confidence on the Under is around 46%, marking it as a close call rather than a strong signal.
Team form
NYR New York Red Bulls WWLDD
18 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 1-0
12 Sept 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ Los Angeles FC 0-2
6 Sept 26 @ Seattle Sounders FC 0-0
22 Aug 26 vs Chicago Fire 1-1
NS Nashville SC WDLDW
20 Sept 26 vs Chicago Fire 3-0
12 Sept 26 @ Inter Miami CF 2-2
9 Sept 26 @ Toronto FC 1-2
4 Sept 26 @ New York City FC 0-0
23 Aug 26 vs Columbus Crew SC 3-2
Head-to-head: New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC
L 19 Aug 26
New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SCMLS
W/D/L shown from New York Red Bulls's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC sees the visitors installed as narrow market favourites. Nashville are priced at 2.32 with Betsson, implying roughly a 43% chance, while the Red Bulls sit at 2.82, or about 35% in probability terms. The draw is a longer proposition at 4.23, translating to close to 24%. That spread points to a matchup the bookmakers consider fairly open, with a modest edge toward Nashville rather than a commanding one. Our model's recommended selection is Under 3.0 goals at 2.03 with Coolbet, carrying market-implied confidence of around 46%. It is worth noting the value edge on that pick reads negative at -5.73%, so it is more a lean on game profile than a standout price. Separately, our figures flag the draw as holding the clearest value on the card, with a fair probability of 26% against a best price of 4.23.
Verdict: The model leans to Under 3.0 goals at 2.03, but with a negative value edge of -5.73% this is a marginal, low-conviction call rather than a priced advantage. The draw at 4.23 offers the clearest value on paper. Treat both as modest plays and stake within your limits.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 19 Aug 26
Under 3.0 goalsfinal score 0-1
1.98 +0.98u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?+
Our tip was Over 3.0 goals at odds of 1.76.
Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?+
Nashville SC are the favourites at 2.32, implying about a 43% chance. New York Red Bulls are priced at 2.82, or roughly 35%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The best available draw price is 4.23 with 1xBet, implying around 24%. Our model rates its fair probability slightly higher at 26%, giving a value edge of 11.78%.
Is there value in this match?+
Our figures highlight the draw at 4.23 as the strongest value, with an edge of 11.78%. The recommended Under 3.0 goals pick at 2.03 actually shows a negative edge of -5.73%, so it is a lean rather than a value play.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 0-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).