English ⚽ MLS 🕒 10 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
2.15
LostResult
2-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
49%Pre-match conf.
+18.78%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
San Diego FC are priced at 1.72, implying roughly 58 percent win probability, making them the strong favourites on paper.
02
The draw at 5.03 carries a fair probability estimate of 23 percent against an implied 19.9 percent, producing the largest value edge of the match at 16.41 percent.
03
San Jose Earthquakes at 4.38 also show value, with a fair probability of 25 percent against an implied 22.8 percent, an edge of 8.46 percent.
04
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 2.15 carries a 49 percent implied confidence and a 5.77 percent edge, suggesting a moderately reliable but not overwhelming lean toward a lower-scoring contest.
Team form
SDF San Diego FC LLLWL
14 Sept 26 vs Philadelphia Union 0-5
10 Sept 26 vs San Jose Earthquakes 2-3
5 Sept 26 @ Orlando City SC 0-1
23 Aug 26 vs Colorado Rapids 3-0
20 Aug 26 @ Portland Timbers 1-3
SJE San Jose Earthquakes DWWDL
19 Sept 26 vs Los Angeles FC 2-2
13 Sept 26 vs Houston Dynamo 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ San Diego FC 3-2
6 Sept 26 @ Austin FC 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Minnesota United FC 1-5
Head-to-head: San Diego FC v San Jose Earthquakes
L 10 Sept 26
San Diego FC 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMLS
W/D/L shown from San Diego FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: pre-match preview
San Diego FC head into this MLS clash against San Jose Earthquakes as clear market favourites, with the best price of 1.72 implying a win probability of roughly 58 percent. San Jose, at 4.38, are priced at around 23 percent, while the draw sits at 5.03, translating to just under 20 percent. Those numbers point to a fixture where the market expects the hosts to control proceedings, but the gap isn't so wide that an upset or stalemate is dismissed outright. Rather than backing the outright winner, our model's recommended angle looks at the total goals market, favouring Under 3.5 goals at 2.15 with a modelled edge of 5.77 percent. This suggests the projected goal output may be more restrained than the scoreline-driven favourite tag might imply, giving bettors an alternative way to engage with this San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes matchup.
Verdict: The Under 3.5 goals selection at 2.15 offers modest value at roughly 49 percent confidence, making it a reasonable rather than high-certainty pick. Bettors should treat it as one option among several market angles, sizing stakes sensibly given the inherent uncertainty in any goals-total market.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 2.15.
Who is favourite in San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
San Diego FC are the clear market favourites, priced at 1.72, which implies about a 58 percent chance of victory according to the best available odds.
What is the draw price for this MLS fixture?+
The draw is priced at 5.03 with best odds, implying just under a 20 percent probability, though the model's fair estimate puts it slightly higher at 23 percent, indicating some value.
Is there value in betting on San Jose Earthquakes to win?+
Yes, at 4.38 San Jose show an edge of 8.46 percent versus the model's fair probability of 25 percent, though they remain clear underdogs against San Diego FC.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).