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Home/ Predictions/ MLS/ Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire

Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire result

MLS · kicked off 29 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.

Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work

Our published tip

Key factors behind our tip

01

The head-to-head prices are extremely close: Chicago Fire at 2.5 versus Seattle Sounders FC at 2.65, a small gap that hands the visitors only a slight edge.

02

Implied probabilities sit near 40% for Chicago, 38% for Seattle and 26% for the draw, marking this as close to an even contest.

03

The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.33 carries a negative value edge of -6.2%, so it falls below our value threshold rather than representing a clear overlay.

04

No value picks cleared the threshold against market consensus, reinforcing that this is a market-efficient fixture with no standout price.

Team form

SSF Seattle Sounders FC DDDDL
20 Sept 26 @ Colorado Rapids 3-3
13 Sept 26 @ LA Galaxy 1-1
6 Sept 26 vs New York Red Bulls 0-0
22 Aug 26 @ FC Cincinnati 1-1
20 Aug 26 vs Austin FC 1-2
CF Chicago Fire LLDDD
20 Sept 26 @ Nashville SC 0-3
13 Sept 26 vs New England Revolution 1-2
10 Sept 26 vs Inter Miami CF 1-1
5 Sept 26 @ Toronto FC 4-4
22 Aug 26 @ New York Red Bulls 1-1

Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire: pre-match preview

This MLS meeting between Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire is a genuinely tight one on the odds. Chicago Fire are marginally the shorter price at 2.5, translating to a market-implied probability of roughly 40%, while home side Seattle Sounders FC sit at 2.65, or about 38%. The draw is priced at 3.8, near 26%. Those numbers describe a fixture the market sees as close to a coin flip, with only a slender lean toward the visitors despite Seattle playing at home. Our model steps away from the match-result line and looks at goals instead, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 2.33. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 40%, but note the value edge is negative at -6.2%, meaning it does not clear our value threshold. Treat this as a lean rather than a strong signal, and stake within a sensible bankroll approach for a competition as unpredictable as MLS.

Verdict: The model leans toward Over 3.5 goals at 2.33, a high-scoring outcome priced around 40% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -6.2%, so this is a modest lean, not a strong recommendation. Stake cautiously and only within your usual bankroll limits.

How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.

Upcoming MLS fixtures

All MLS tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
20 Sept 23:00 Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC 1.49 5.80 6.50
24 Sept 01:30 Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake 2.01 3.95 3.95
26 Sept 23:30 New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC 2.82 4.00 2.48
26 Sept 23:30 Atlanta United FC v New York City FC 2.35 3.75 3.23
26 Sept 23:30 Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC 1.53 5.26 6.30
26 Sept 23:30 CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati 2.60 4.00 2.60
26 Sept 23:30 Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire 2.38 3.99 2.85
27 Sept 00:30 Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC 2.25 3.85 3.20

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Match FAQ

What was our prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire?+

Our tip was Seattle Sounders FC to win at odds of 2.92.

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire?+

Chicago Fire are the narrow favourites at 2.5, just ahead of Seattle Sounders FC at 2.65. The gap is small, implying a close match around 40% versus 38%.

What are the draw odds for this MLS fixture?+

The draw is priced at 3.8 with LeoVegas (SE), which implies a probability of roughly 26%.

Is there any value in this match?+

No value picks cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.33 actually shows a negative value edge of -6.2%, so it is a lean rather than a value bet.

Did the tip win?+

The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.