Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
St. Louis City SC are the favourites at 2.08 (about 48% implied), ahead of Colorado Rapids at 3.56 (about 28%).
The draw is the least likely outcome in the market's eyes at 4.0, implying roughly 25%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.61 reflects a market-implied confidence near 60%.
No selections cleared the value threshold, and the goals pick shows a marginally negative edge of -2.84%.
Team form
Head-to-head: St. Louis City SC v Colorado Rapids
W/D/L shown from St. Louis City SC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
St. Louis City SC vs Colorado Rapids: pre-match preview
St. Louis City SC host Colorado Rapids in this MLS clash, and the market leans firmly toward the home side. St. Louis are priced at 2.08, which translates to an implied win probability of roughly 48%, while the Rapids sit at 3.56, or around 28%. The draw is the outsider of the three outcomes at 4.0, implying about 25%. Those numbers point to a home team the bookmakers respect without treating them as heavy favourites, leaving room for Colorado to spring a result. Rather than backing the match result, our model looks at the goals market. The recommended selection is Over 2.5 goals at 1.61, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 60%. It is worth flagging, though, that the value edge on this pick is slightly negative at -2.84%, so the price offers no clear surplus over the model's fair estimate.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.5 goals at 1.61, aligned with a roughly 60% implied likelihood of an open game. Treat it as moderate risk: the slightly negative value edge means there is no pricing advantage, so stake responsibly and only within a comfortable bankroll.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.61.
The tip lost — final score 1-0 (-1.00u at flat stakes).