English ⚽ MLS 🕒 23 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.30
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
45%Pre-match conf.
+9.52%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Unibet (SE)
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
St. Louis City SC are the market favourites at 2.0, implying roughly a 50% chance of a home win.
02
Houston Dynamo at 3.8 and the draw at 3.85 are priced almost identically, each near 26% implied probability.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.57 carries an implied confidence of about 60%, suggesting the market leans toward an open game.
04
The value edge on that Over pick is negative (-6.37%), so it does not clear our value threshold and should be treated cautiously.
Team form
SLC St. Louis City SC WWDWD
20 Sept 26 vs Toronto FC 3-1
13 Sept 26 vs Minnesota United FC 4-2
10 Sept 26 @ Portland Timbers 2-2
6 Sept 26 @ Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3-1
30 Aug 26 vs FC Dallas 3-3
HD Houston Dynamo DLWDL
20 Sept 26 vs FC Cincinnati 2-2
13 Sept 26 @ San Jose Earthquakes 0-1
10 Sept 26 vs Real Salt Lake 2-1
5 Sept 26 @ Charlotte FC 0-0
23 Aug 26 @ St. Louis City SC 1-2
Head-to-head: St. Louis City SC v Houston Dynamo
W 23 Aug 26
St. Louis City SC 2-1 Houston DynamoMLS
W/D/L shown from St. Louis City SC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
St. Louis City SC vs Houston Dynamo: pre-match preview
St. Louis City SC host Houston Dynamo in this MLS clash, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. St. Louis are priced at 2.0 to win, which translates to an implied probability of around 50%, marking them as clear home favourites. Houston, at 3.8, sit at roughly 26% in the market's eyes, while the draw is close behind at 3.85, or about 26%. That pricing suggests bookmakers see this as a game St. Louis are more likely than not to control, with the away win and stalemate rated as similar longshots. Our model's attention is not on the result line, however, but on goals: the recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 60%. Note that this pick shows a negative value edge of -6.37%, meaning it screens as fair-to-slightly-unfavourable rather than a clear overlay against the market.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, backed by roughly 60% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -6.37%, so this is not a market overlay. Treat it as a modest-odds lean rather than a strong edge, and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for St. Louis City SC vs Houston Dynamo?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.30.
Who is the favourite for St. Louis City SC vs Houston Dynamo?+
St. Louis City SC are favourites at 2.0, an implied probability of about 50%. Houston Dynamo are the outsiders at 3.8, around 26%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.85 with LeoVegas (SE), which implies roughly a 26% chance, almost level with the Houston Dynamo win price.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 actually shows a negative edge of -6.37%, so it screens as fair-to-slightly-unfavourable rather than a clear value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).