English ⚽ MLS 🕒 19 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.26
LostResult
3-3Final score
-1.00uProfit
47%Pre-match conf.
-6.61%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Toronto FC are the modest favourite at 2.4 (about 42% implied), ahead of Charlotte FC at 2.78 (about 36%).
02
The match-result prices are close together, suggesting the market sees a balanced contest rather than a one-sided game.
03
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.7 carries about 57% implied confidence, but its value edge is slightly negative at -2.98%.
04
The draw at 4.01 shows a positive value edge of roughly 9.55%, with a fair probability estimate of 27% against an implied 25%.
Team form
TF Toronto FC LLWDW
20 Sept 26 @ St. Louis City SC 1-3
12 Sept 26 @ Orlando City SC 0-3
9 Sept 26 vs Nashville SC 2-1
5 Sept 26 vs Chicago Fire 4-4
22 Aug 26 @ Inter Miami CF 2-1
CF Charlotte FC WDWDW
19 Sept 26 @ D.C. United 2-1
12 Sept 26 @ FC Cincinnati 3-3
9 Sept 26 @ CF Montreal 2-1
5 Sept 26 vs Houston Dynamo 0-0
22 Aug 26 vs D.C. United 3-1
Head-to-head: Toronto FC v Charlotte FC
D 19 Aug 26
Toronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FCMLS
W/D/L shown from Toronto FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between Toronto FC and Charlotte FC arrives with the home side holding the narrower price. Toronto are quoted at 2.4 with Coolbet, translating to a market-implied probability of roughly 42%, while Charlotte sit at 2.78 (1xBet), or about 36%. The draw is priced at 4.01, implying near 25%. That spread points to a genuinely competitive fixture rather than a clear mismatch, with Toronto edged slightly ahead purely on the numbers. Our model's headline recommendation is Over 2.5 goals at 1.7, carrying market-implied confidence around 57%, though the value edge here is marginally negative at -2.98%, so it sits closer to a lean than a strong call. Separately, the draw stands out on value grounds, with a fair probability estimate of 27% against a best price of 4.01, generating a positive edge of roughly 9.55%. Both angles are worth weighing before committing any stake.
Verdict: The model leans toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.7, backed by around 57% implied confidence, but the negative -2.98% edge makes it a low-conviction play. The draw at 4.01 offers the better value on the numbers. Treat both as modest, considered stakes rather than confident selections, and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 3-3, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.26.
Who is the favourite for Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?+
Toronto FC are the slight favourite at 2.4, implying roughly 42%, while Charlotte FC are priced at 2.78, around 36%. The gap is small, indicating a close match on the odds.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 4.01 with 1xBet, implying about 25%. Our model estimates a fair probability of 27%, which produces a positive value edge of roughly 9.55%.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
The clearest value on the data is the draw, with a 9.55% edge at 4.01. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.7 has around 57% implied confidence but a slightly negative edge of -2.98%.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 3-3 (-1.00u at flat stakes).