Week results
Week 33 in review
Week 33 closed as a losing week for the model. Across 158 published tips, 158 were settled, finishing 62-77 with 19 void, for a profit of -7.47u at flat 1-unit stakes and a graded ROI of -5.4%. Totals betting held up better than match-result picks: over/under came in at 44W-46L for -2.65u, while 1X2 lagged at 18W-31L and -4.82u. La Liga (+3.24u), Primeira Liga (+2.62u) and Allsvenskan (+2.45u) were the standouts, but MLS was the heaviest drag at 14W-19L and -5.45u, with Eredivisie (0W-4L, -4.00u) and Ekstraklasa (-3.64u) also costly. The best call was Mjällby AIF to win at 3.35; the worst, an Under 2.5 at 1.36 that landed 3-0. An honest read: short-odds totals losses hurt, and one week rarely tells the full story.
By market
| Over/Under totals | 107 tips · 44W–46L–17V · -2.65u (ROI -2.9%) |
| Match result (1X2) | 51 tips · 18W–31L–2V · -4.82u (ROI -9.8%) |
By league
| MLS | 34 tips · 14W–19L–1V · -5.45u (ROI -16.5%) |
| La Liga | 17 tips · 5W–4L–8V · +3.24u (ROI +36%) |
| J1 League | 11 tips · 5W–6L · +0.10u (ROI +0.9%) |
| Ekstraklasa | 11 tips · 1W–5L–5V · -3.64u (ROI -60.7%) |
| Eliteserien | 9 tips · 5W–4L · +1.41u (ROI +15.7%) |
| Primeira Liga | 8 tips · 4W–2L–2V · +2.62u (ROI +43.7%) |
| Süper Lig | 8 tips · 3W–5L · -2.47u (ROI -30.9%) |
| Belgian Pro League | 7 tips · 2W–4L–1V · -1.30u (ROI -21.7%) |
| Danish Superliga | 6 tips · 3W–3L · +0.76u (ROI +12.7%) |
| Liga Profesional | 6 tips · 2W–3L–1V · +0.80u (ROI +16%) |
| Austrian Bundesliga | 6 tips · 3W–3L · -0.80u (ROI -13.3%) |
| Championship | 6 tips · 2W–4L · -1.07u (ROI -17.8%) |
| League One | 6 tips · 3W–3L · -0.01u (ROI -0.2%) |
| Brasileirão | 6 tips · 4W–2L · +1.44u (ROI +24%) |
| Allsvenskan | 5 tips · 3W–2L · +2.45u (ROI +49%) |
| 2. Bundesliga | 5 tips · 2W–3L · -1.90u (ROI -38%) |
| Eredivisie | 4 tips · 0W–4L · -4.00u (ROI -100%) |
| Liga MX | 2 tips · 0W–1L–1V · -1.00u (ROI -100%) |
| La Liga 2 | 1 tip · 1W–0L · +1.35u (ROI +135%) |
Full log
Stakes are flat 1u per tip. Kick-offs shown in UTC. Results are graded automatically after full time.
Week 33 results FAQ
No. The week finished at -7.47u on flat 1-unit stakes with a graded ROI of -5.4%, from a 62-77 record and 19 void bets. Losing weeks are a normal part of betting, and no model avoids them.
Over/under totals were the stronger of the two main markets, going 44W-46L for -2.65u, while match-result (1X2) picks struggled at 18W-31L and -4.82u. Both markets ended in the red this week, so neither carried the results.
Void bets are settled with no win or loss, typically returning the stake, so they do not count toward profit or ROI. This week 19 of 158 tips were void, which is why the graded ROI is calculated only on bets that actually won or lost.